Massachusetts-Lowell
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 79.1768Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Manhattan Metro Atlan ( 3-14, 72.0) 13- 6 211 H Merrimack Metro Atlan ( 6-11, 74.3) 16- 5 214 H Yale Ivy League (13- 5, 91.9) 4-14 221 A Temple AAC (12- 5, 86.5) 6- 9 225 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (16- 3, 89.5) 6-12 228 H Siena Metro Atlan (12- 7, 81.9) 8-10 309 A Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 15-14 312 A Furman Big South (10- 9, 77.0) 20-21 317 H Central Michigan MAC ( 4-12, 74.4) 15- 6 321 A Albany America Eas (12- 6, 84.2) 10-19 328 H Bryant America Eas (10- 7, 83.6) 10-16 404 A Binghamton America Eas ( 6- 9, 80.0) 7-18 411 H UMBC America Eas ( 7- 8, 80.6) 11-10 414 H Dartmouth Ivy League ( 8- 7, 90.2) 5-23 418 A New Hampshire America Eas ( 4-12, 75.9) 15-12 425 H Vermont America Eas (10- 7, 83.2) 12-14
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Manhattan 13- 6 7 9 -1.56
211 H Merrimack 16- 5 11 6 ++ 4.79
214 H Yale 4-14 -10 -11 1.35
221 A Temple 6- 9 -3 -9 ++ 5.67
225 A Massachusetts 6-12 -6 -12 ++ 5.66
228 H Siena 8-10 -2 -1 -0.66
309 A Wofford 15-14 1 2 -0.51
312 A Furman 20-21 -1 1 -1.79
317 H Central Michigan 15- 6 9 6 + 2.85
321 A Albany 10-19 -9 -6 - -2.59
328 H Bryant 10-16 -6 -3 - -2.92
404 A Binghamton 7-18 -11 -2 --- -8.80
411 H UMBC 11-10 1 0 1.07
414 H Dartmouth 5-23 -18 -10 -- -4.32
418 A New Hampshire 15-12 3 2 1.05
425 H Vermont 12-14 -2 -3 0.69
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Binghamton 7-18 -11 -2 --- -8.80 414 H Dartmouth 5-23 -18 -10 -- -4.32 321 A Albany 10-19 -9 -6 - -2.59 328 H Bryant 10-16 -6 -3 - -2.92 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 H Merrimack 16- 5 11 6 ++ 4.79 221 A Temple 6- 9 -3 -9 ++ 5.67 225 A Massachusetts 6-12 -6 -12 ++ 5.66 317 H Central Michigan 15- 6 9 6 + 2.85 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Manhattan ( 3-14, 72.0) 13- 6 -27.91 12.26 -1.37 1.08 23.58
3 H Merrimack ( 6-11, 74.3) 16- 5 -25.56 14.60 -1.37 1.08 28.66
3 H Yale (13- 5, 91.9) 4-14 -8.00 32.17 -1.37 1.08 -5.07
3 A Temple (12- 5, 86.5) 6- 9 -13.42 26.75 1.37 1.08 -6.52
3 A Massachusetts (16- 3, 89.5) 6-12 -10.43 29.74 1.37 1.08 -4.91
3 H Siena (12- 7, 81.9) 8-10 -18.01 22.16 -1.37 1.08 -10.49
3 A Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 15-14 -23.60 16.57 1.37 1.08 38.85
3 A Furman (10- 9, 77.0) 20-21 -22.89 17.28 1.37 1.08 -11.65
3 H Central Michig ( 4-12, 74.4) 15- 6 -25.50 14.67 -1.37 1.08 28.80
3 A Albany (12- 6, 84.2) 10-19 -15.69 24.48 1.37 1.08 -7.75
3 H Bryant (10- 7, 83.6) 10-16 -16.28 23.89 -1.37 1.08 -9.55
3 A Binghamton ( 6- 9, 80.0) 7-18 -19.89 20.27 1.37 1.08 -10.03
3 H UMBC ( 7- 8, 80.6) 11-10 -19.29 20.88 -1.37 1.08 42.26
3 H Dartmouth ( 8- 7, 90.2) 5-23 -9.67 30.50 -1.37 1.08 -5.98
3 A New Hampshire ( 4-12, 75.9) 15-12 -24.04 16.13 1.37 1.08 37.89
3 H Vermont (10- 7, 83.2) 12-14 -16.66 23.51 -1.37 1.08 -9.76
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118.31
|
winning pts = 200.0216 losing points = -81.7092
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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